Latest Iowa Polls

The Reuters poll conducted by Zogby from the past three consecutive days show little change. Obama and Edwards seem to be gaining a bit of momentum while Clinton is slowing slightly (note that the days read in reverse order, with the latest numbers coming first).

                          Wed        Tues        Mon
Obama                28            26           26
Clinton               28            30           30
Edwards              26            25           26

For Republicans, both Huckabee and Romney are slipping a bit as they lose votes to McCain and Thompson.

                            Wed        Tues     Mon
Huckabee            28            29         29
Romney               26            25         27
McCain                12             12        13
Thompson            12             10         8

Pollster John Zogby says high turnout will bode well for Obama and Edwards because new voters and first-time caucusers are more likely to vote for them. At the caucus precincts, Zogby says, "if crowds are much larger than in the past, we're looking at an Obama or Edwards victory."

On the GOP side, he said that the first place finish will depend on whether McCain or Thompson draws more votes – McCain pulls from Romney, Thompson pulls from Huckabee. A third place finish for McCain would be a coup for him since he has spent little time here and his campaign was in shambles this summer. He is now running neck and neck with Romney in NH. Pundits are speculating that Thompson will drop out if he finishes fourth here in Iowa.